Well...I just cannot get on track with my picks against the spread. I went 8-8 last week which marks the third time in a row I haven't been able to go above .500. On top of that, my online NFL picks show, The Mole & Meares Show, was supposed to be featured in a segment on Inside the NFL last night but the segment was postponed again! I am not going to make any promises on when it is going to air anymore so as to not jinx myself. Two weeks left in the NFL regular season in order to get my overall record to be respectable. I have done extra homework this week to hopefully put up some decent numbers. Here we go...
Record to Date - 74-68-3
Carolina at Pittsburgh (-14) - Pittsburgh Steelers - The Thursday night game couldn't be much more of a bore than watching the Steelers decimate the Panthers. If you don't have the NFL network it really isn't that big of a deal. 14 points is a lot to give in an NFL game but I am willing to give the points in this one because I don't think the Panthers are going to score.
Dallas at Arizona (+7) - Dallas Cowboys - Another boring game on the NFL network on Christmas day. Don't worry about turning it on, enjoy the time with your family and opening gifts. This game isn't going to be close as the Cowboys will be way too much for the Cardinals to handle. I will give the seven and take the Boys on the road.
New England at Buffalo (+7.5) - Buffalo Bills - Let me be clear, I, in no way, believe the Bills are going to win this game. I do, however, believe that Buffalo is going to play them tough and keep it close for much of the game. The elements in Buffalo, combined with the fact that the Bills have played many opponents tough this year, makes me think this will be closer than 7 points. Give me the 7 and a half and I will take the Bills to circle the wagons at home.
NY Jets at Chicago (-1) - NY Jets - The Bears clinched their division last week and although they would like to lock up the second seed I think they are primed for a let down game. The Jets on the other hand are clinging to a playoff spot and need a victory this week to solidify their post season hopes. They are coming off an enormous win at Pittsburgh last week and should be playing with a renewed confidence. I will take the one measly point and take the Jets on the road.
Baltimore at Cleveland (+3) - Baltimore Ravens - The Cleveland Browns are a team that I just can't get a read on. This game should be a battle but after the loss that Cleveland suffered last week and the win the Ravens had at home against the Saints, I think this line is too small. I like the Ravens to punch the Browns in the mouth for 60 minutes so I will give the points and take the Ravens.
Tennessee at Kansas City (-4.5) - Kansas City Chiefs - There is no doubt that when Matt Cassell is behind center for the Chiefs they are a good football team. They need a win this week to put a strangle hold on the AFC West and Tennessee is only playing for pride. Kansas City is a tough place to play for good teams and Tennessee is not a good team. I will give the points and take the Chiefs at home.
San Francisco at St. Louis (-2.5) - St. Louis Rams - This is a huge game in the worst division in the NFL. San Francisco, who is 5-9, holds their own playoff destiny in their hands which is incredible. With that said, the Rams are the better team and if Sam Bradford and Steven Jackson can find a way to get the ball in the endzone the Rams should have no problem taking this one at home. I will give the points and take the Rams to win at home.
Detroit at Miami (-3.5) - Detroit Lions - The Lions are coming off a big win in Tampa Bay last week. Perhaps they enjoy playing in Florida in December. The Dolphins lost a heart breaker against the Bills at home last week ending any chance of making the playoffs. The Lions are a young team that is hungry to win and I think they are going to want this game more the Dolphins. I will take the points and take the Lions in Florida.
Minnesota at Philadelphia (-15.5) - Philadelphia Eagles - Was there a better game last week than the Eagles coming back from 21 points with less than 8 minutes to go in the game? The Eagles confidence has to be at an all time high and they get to face an Adrian Peterson and Brett Favre-less Vikings team at home this week with a chance to lock up the NFC East. The line could be 21 and I would still take the Eagles.
Seattle at Tampa Bay (-5.5) - Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Tampa Bay's playoff hopes took a huge hit at home last week when they lost to the Lions. With that said, this team is young and hungry and still thinks they have a chance. The Seahawks are absolutely brutal on the road and traveling across country from west to east never works out well for the west coast team. I will give the five and a half points and take the Bucs.
Washington at Jacksonville (-7) - Jacksonville Jaguars - The Redskins are in complete turmoil, McNabb has been benched, Haynesworth suspended, Rex Grossman is starting at quarterback, none of this sounds good. The Jaguars need a win to keep pace with the Colts for the AFC South. I have no problem giving the 7 points here and taking the Jaguars at home.
Indianapolis at Oakland (+3) - Indianapolis Colts - Peyton Manning willed the Colts to victory last week against the Jaguars and now holds the playoff hopes of the entire city of Indianapolis in his hands; he usually doesn't disappoint. Oakland has been playing well this year and is much improved from last season but I think this is where the dream ends for them. I will give the three points and take the Colts on the road.
Houston at Denver (+3) - Denver Broncos - Tim Tebow made his first NFL start last week and played better than many expected. Look for Denver to loosen the leash a little more on him this week and allow him to throw the ball around more. The Texans have just had a brutal season and I don't think it is going to get any better this week. I like the Tebow led Broncos to win this game outright so I will take the 3 points and take the Bronocs at home.
NY Giants at Green Bay (-2.5) - Green Bay Packers - The Giants will not win another game this year after their horrific collapse in the new Meadowlands this past week. Tom Coughlin is now on the hot seat and when they don't make the playoffs for the second consecutive year he will no longer be employed. The Packers get Aaron Rodgers back this week and if they can win out they can still make the playoffs. I like the Packers in Lambeau in December no matter who they are playing so I will give the points and take the Packers.
San Diego at Cincinnati (+7) - San Diego Chargers - The Cincinnati Bengals ended their 10 game skid last week but will be ready to start another losing streak this week. The Chargers till believe they can make the playoffs and they have had a few extra days to prepare for the Bengals. Philip Rivers will rip apart the weak Bengals secondary and the Chargers will easily cover the 7 point spread.
New Orleans at Atlanta (-2.5) - Atlanta Falcons - The Falcons just continue to win and impress me at the same time. I keep waiting for the let down game but it seems as though it will never come. The Saints are coming off a loss to the Ravens on Sunday and would love to go into Atlanta and win but unfortunately that is not going to happen. The Ravens exposed the Saints defense last week and I guarantee you the Falcons coaching staff was paying attention. Look for Michael Turner to have a monster game and the Falcons to cover the two and a half point spread.
There are my week 16 picks ATS. Check back next week to see how I did.
Don't forget to visit my NFL picks site at www.moleandmeares.com where we have a weekly video talking about the four biggest games of the week. We also have a place for you to submit your picks for week 16 straight up for a chance to win our weekly prize! Good Luck!